When: 4:10 PM ET, Sunday, August 21, 2016
Where: Coors Field in Denver, Colorado
Lines: Chicago -142/ Colorado +132
Major League Baseball on Sunday afternoon and the Chicago Cubs will battle the Colorado Rockies in game three of their three game series from Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. The Over is 16-6 the last 22 games between these teams here at Coors. Pitching Probables: Jason Hammel vs Jorge De La Rosa.
Could The Pen Bring The Cubs Down?
The Cubs allowed six runs in the first game of the series after they had allowed just 2.45 rpg in their previous 22 games. Still the Cubs won the game 7-6 as their offense is more than capable of putting up big numbers vs this staff and in this park. Coors has eaten up many a pitcher and they may do that here as this park has been a very tough venue for everyone to pitch at, as the Cubs showed in game one. Kyle Hendricks did have a good game as he allowed just one ER in six innings of work, but the bullpen crashed and the Rockies scored five runs off of their pen. That pen ranks 12th in the league, but many feel it could be the one thing that brings them down this year. They have a pen ERA of 5.87 in their last 10 games, compared to an ERA of 1.72 from their starters over that stretch. They need to fix their pen.
The Cubs enter this game ranked 3rd in the league in scoring, putting up 5.11 rpg, while also ranking 14th in hitting at .257 and 13th in homers with 151. Chicago hits .261 overall on the road including .264 vs righties. The Cubs have averaged 5.32 rpg and have allowed 3.93 rpg on the road this year. On the mound the Cubs have been excellent as they come in ranked 1st in the league in ERA at 3.10, while also ranking 1st in WHIP at 1.11. On the road Cub starters have an ERA of 3.77, while their pen has an ERA of 3.40. Jason Hammel gets the nod for the Cubs and he has gone 13-5 with a 2.73 ERA in 23 starts this year, including 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last three starts and 5-4 with a 3.80 ERA in 11 starts on the road. Hammel is 12-8 with a 3.62 ERA in his last 26 starts on the road and 13-11 with a 3.39 ERA in his last 36 day games (35 day starts), while vs the Rockies he is 1-0 with a4.50 ERA in one start.
Offense Just Isn’t Enough
Imagine putting the Rockies offense with the pitching of the Cubs or even the Rays right now. Maybe the Mets? Yikes. This would be a very hard team to bet. In game one they score six runs off a staff that came in allowing 2.45 rpg over their previous 22 games, but unfortunately for the Rockies they allowed seven runs in the game. That has been their problem this year. They just can’t score enough to overcome the pitching they have, even though their offense is 2nd in the league in scoring, putting up 5.30 rpg, while also ranking 2nd in hitting at .274 and 12th in homers with 155. The Rockies have hit .297 overall at home, including .304 vs lefties. This is an excellent offense, but for most nights that offense is wasted due to poor pitching. This is clearly something they have to address or they will have another rough year in 2017.
Colorado has averaged 6.28 rpg and have allowed 6.30 rpg at home for the year. On the mound they enter this game ranked 27th in the league in ERA at 4.89 while also ranking 28th in WHIP at 1.44. At home Colorado starters have an ERA of 5.79, while their pen has an ERA of 6.02. The Rockies will be sending out Jorge De La Rosa in this one and he has gone 7-7 with a 5.29 ERA in 21 games (18 starts) this year, including 0-0 with a 4.24 ERA in his last three starts and 4-3 with a 5.18 ERA in 11 games (eight starts) here at home. De La Rosa is 52-19 with a 4.25 ERA in his career here at Coors and 40-21 with a 4.26 ERA in 95 games (69 starts) in daytime, while vs the Cubs he is 4-0 with a 3.30 ERA in 11 games (seven starts).
16-6 in their last 22 road games vs. a left-handed starter
74-30 in their last 104 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
5-12 in their last 17 vs. the National League Central
1-6 in De La Rosa’s last seven starts vs. a team with a winning record
Jason Hammel is on a roll and I don’t feel that Coors Field will slow him down. He hasn’t allowed an ER in his last three starts and just one ER in his last four. He and the rest of the staff are on a roll, while the Rockies will send out Jorge De La Rosa, who has struggled this year, especially here at home, where he has been so strong over his career. This one is there for the Cubs to take vs a slumping Rockies team.