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Cubs vs. Rockies, 8/19/16 – Free Prediction

Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies

When: 8:40 PM ET, Friday, August 19, 2016

Where: Coors Field in Denver, Colorado

Lines: Chicago -155/ Colorado +145

Total: 11.5

Tonight the Chicago Cubs of the National League Central will do battle with the Colorado Rockies of the National League West in game one of their three games series from Coors field in Denver, Colorado. The Over is 15-6 the last 21 games played here at coors between these teams. Pitching Probables: Kyle Hendricks vs Tyler Anderson.

Cubs Getting Dominant Starting Pitching

The Chicago Cubs have been on a roll again and their pitching has been dominant of late over that stretch. Remember in the middle of the year when they were struggling, it was the pitching that did them in as every one, even Jake Arrieta and Jon Lester were struggling. Well that is over as they come in with a solid 2.25 ERA in their last 10 games, including a 1.09 ERA from their starters over that stretch. Lester is now 3-0 with a 1.75 ERA in his last three starts, while Arrieta is 2-0 with a 0.65 ERA in his last two starts. Needless to say, those two are rolling right now. Also we note that John Lackey has a 0.61 ERA in his last two starts and Jason Hammel has a 0.33 ERA in his last four starts. The Cubs have needed that starting pitching as their pen has an ERA of 5.25 ERA in their last 10 games. The pen is their Achilles heel, but with their starting pitching being so dominant and their offense being one of the best in the league, they should be able to overcome the shortcomings of their pen,

The Cubs enter this game ranked 5th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.07 rpg, while also ranking 15th in hitting at .256 and 13th in homers with 147. Chicago hits .261 overall on the road including .280 vs lefties. The Cubs have averaged 5.30 rpg and have allowed 3.88 rpg on the road this year. On the mound the Cubs have been excellent as they come in ranked 1st in the league in ERA at 3.07, while also ranking 1st in WHIP at 1.11. On the road Cub starters have an ERA of  3.81, while their pen has an ERA of 3.27. Getting the nod for the Cubs will be Kyle Hendricks, who has gone 11-7 with a 2.19 ERA in 23 games (22 starts) this year, including 2-0 with a 1.16 ERA in his last three starts and 3-6 with a 3.43 ERA in 10 starts on the road. Hendricks is now 12-11 with a 3.84 ERA in 33 career starts on the road and 8-1 with a 2.83 ERA in 15 starts in August, while vs the Rockies he is 1-1 with a 5.01 ERA in four starts, including 1-0 with a 4.38 ERA in two starts here at Coors.

The Pitching Has Left The Building Again

The Rockies have had one of the worst staff ERA in the league for much of the year, but they pitching did go through a recent stretch where they looked rather good. Well that is now over as the Rockies are back to struggling on the mound. Colorado has now allowed 6.50 rpg and have posted a 6.07 ERA in their last 10 games. They have the worst home ERA in the league at 5.90 and it just doesn’t seem like there is much help on the way. The Rockies will never make it back to the playoffs until they get some quality pitching that can last the whole year, and especially get some pitching that can stand up to the conditions at Coors field. Colorado now has to take on the best team in the league, which could make this an ugly series for them.

The Rockies enter this game ranked 2nd in the league in scoring, putting up 5.29 rpg, while also ranking 2nd in hitting at .274 and 12th in homers with 153. The Rockies have hit .297 overall at home, including .296 vs righties. Colorado has averaged 6.27 rpg and have allowed 6.30 rpg at home for the year. On the mound they enter this game ranked 28th in the league in ERA at 4.89 while also ranking 28th in WHIP at 1.44. At home Colorado starters have an ERA of 5.77, while their pen has an ERA of 6.09. The Rockies will send out Tyler Anderson, who has gone 4-4 with a 3.42 ERA in 12 starts in this his rookie year. Anderson is 1-1 with a 3.71 ERA in his last three starts and 4-1 with a 3.04 ERA in eight starts here at home.

Trends

Chicago is:

  • 16-5 in their last 21 road games vs. a left-handed starter
  • 45-17 in their last 62 during game one of a series

Colorado is:

  • 9-23 in their last 32 vs. the National League Central
  • 3-7 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record

The Cubs are clearly the better team here and their pitching has been very dominant of late and that should continue here, even though the game is at Coors Field. Chicago has a huge lead in their division and may shut it down soon so that they are fresh for the playoffs, but it is still too early for that and they should have a successful series here in Colorado. Look for another solid win by the best team in the league.

Pick: Chicago Cubs